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337 pages, Hardcover
First published February 1, 1993
"As a child I was shy and sensitive, something of a mamma's boy. I always sat at Mother's right at the dinner table, and i remember how fiercely I fought for this privilege. When I married, I asked my wife to sit where my mother would have sat-with me to her right."
"I could rattle off the routes of all the principal railroads in the United States and what commodities and products gave them their main source of revenue. Nor did I have to consult an atlas to know which railroads would be affected by drought in one part of the country or floods in another, by the discovery of some new mine or the opening of some new territory for settlement."
"I began a habit I was never to forsake-of analyzing my losses to determine where I had made my mistakes. This was a practice I was to develop ever more systematically as my operations grew in size. After each major undertaking— and particularly when things had turned sour-I would shake loose from Wall Street and go off to some quiet place where I could review what I had done and where I had gone wrong."
"A market without bears would be like a nation without a free press"
"Being so skeptical about the usefulness of advice, I have been reluctant to lay down any "rules" or guidelines on how to invest or speculate wisely. Still, there are a number of things I have learned from my own experience which might be worth listing for those who are able to muster the necessary self-discipline:
- Don't speculate unless you can make it a full-time job.
- Beware of barbers, beauticians, waiters-of anyone-bring-ing gifts of "inside" information or "tips." [Unskilled traders love insider information and massively over index on them]
- Before you buy a security, find out everything you can about the company, its management and competitors, its earnings and possibilities for growth.
- Don't try to buy at the bottom and sell at the top. This can't be done-except by liars."
"Some people boast of selling at the top of the market and buying at the bottom—I don't believe this can be done except by latter-day Munchausens. I have bought when things seemed low enough and sold when they seemed high enough. In that way I have managed to avoid being swept along to those wild extremes of market fluctuations which prove so disastrous."
"In evaluating individual companies three main factors should be examined. First, there are the real assets of a company, the cash it has on hand over its indebtedness and what its physical properties are worth. Second, there is the franchise to do business that a company holds, which is another way of saying whether or not it makes something or performs a service that people want or must have. Third, and most important, is the character and brains of management. I'd rather have good management and less money than poor managers with a lot of money."
"In the decade before World War One, I invested in companies which sought to develop new sources of supply for such varied materials as copper, rubber, iron ore, gold, and sulfur. Always restless by nature, as soon as one of these enterprises reached the dividend-paying stage, I usually got out and searched about for another. The knowledge I acquired through these investments was also to prove of enormous value when Woodrow Wilson named me to the Advisory Commission of the Council of National Defense after the outbreak of World War One."
"A committee of munitions manufacturers came to Washington to ask how they were going to get the nitrates which were needed to fill their contracts. I assured them the nitrates would be supplied.
When the meeting broke up, Charles MacDowell, who headed our chemical division, asked me, "Chief, what are you going to do to make good on that promise?"
"I don't know, Mac," I confessed. "But I couldn't let them go out of here thinking the government couldn't do any-thing."
The next few days were among the most trying I ever have experienced. I couldn't sleep or eat. Even when I drank a glass of water my throat choked up. I believe I came as close to giving way to panic as I ever have been in my life. While dressing one morning I looked at my pale, drawn face in the mirror, and said aloud, "Why, you coward. Pull yourself together and act like a man."
What happened next made me wonder whether there wasn't some special Providence looking after me. I forced myself to eat breakfast and went down to my office. I had not been there long when a Naval Intelligence officer came in with several intercepted cables which revealed that the Chilean government had its gold reserve in Germany and had been trying in vain to get the German government to release this gold reserve.
At last I had something to work on."
"To be able to exercise sound judgment, one must keep the total picture in focus. Our better educators are coming to realize that what is needed is not a familiarity with specialized detail but this ability to see our varied problems as parts of one interrelated whole. Almost nothing in our world stands alone. Everything tends to cut athwart of everything else."
"Mankind has always sought to substitute energy for reason, as if running faster will give one a better sense of direction. Periodically we should stop and ask ourselves if our efforts are focused upon the crux of the problem-the things that must be settled if there is to be a manageable solution-or it we are expending our energies on side issues which cannot yield a decision, no matter what their outcome."
"Sadly, the dominant trends in education seem to be operating to aggravate this neglect. Instead of teaching young people to think, too many of our schools assume that their task is done if students are kept interested. But information cannot serve as an effective substitute for thinking."
"How often have we been struck by the petty bickering that people engage in when confronted with the gravest sort of crisis. I doubt that this bickering reflects a lack of awareness of the seriousness of a situation. Rather I think it reflects what might be termed the law of distraction-that when men find themselves baffled and frustrated by some problem, they create some distraction to run after."
"Accommodation to mutual needs remains the best basis for all agreements between nations. We have relied too heavily on the formal wording of treaties and have neglected to do what needs to be done to strengthen the structure of mutual interests which alone can support an enduring alliance."
"One cannot buy the friendship of other nations. 'Friends' acquired in such a way are quick to take offense over any-thing. Where there is a true basis of mutual interest, however, nations will make excuses for one another's failings and overlook one another's shortcomings."