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The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—But Some Don't

Nate Silver

Start date: October 1, 2018

Finish date: October 31, 2018

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Sep 17, 2012 Charles rated it really liked it

A very interesting book. I learned about Bayes’ rule. I never really understood what it was before. Silver did a good job promoting Bayes' idea. I personally like Bayes’ philosophy. I have a suspicion why academia doesn't really teach Bayesian probability. I suspect it's because probabilistic approach weakens the science. Science loves theorems. Something that is provable. They don't want to hear this theory has 80% chance that it's correct. Truths cannot be probabilistic in their mind. It’s abs ...more

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