Amazon exiles discussion

Lucky I share my birthday with Anzac Day, never short of a day off! Had hoped to climb Mt Beerwah today, however the weather seems pretty damning

Happy Birthday Jed 🥳🥳

Today's game is looking much tighter than i was expecting, Bombers are doing well atm.

Tonight's results:

Collingwood Magpies (available) v Essendon Bombers (Val)
3.4.22 (Q1) 1.1.7
6.5.41 (Q2) 5.3.33
11.9.75 (Q3) 8.3.51
16.11.107 (Q4) 10.6.66

Fremantle Dockers (available) v Adelaide Crows (available)
6.2.38 (Q1) 2.1.13
8.6.54 (Q2) 5.4.34
12.8.80 (Q3) 5.8.38
12.13.85 (Q4) 9.13.67

Neither game was up to scratch today. Essendon actually took the lead at the start of the third quarter but it didn't last long. They didn't handle the slippery conditions and they certainly didn't handle Collingwood. I gave up on the second game at half time. Freo looked well in control although the score shows the Crows had the better of them in the final quarter.

Today's results:

St Kilda Saints (Tim) v Brisbane Lions (Jed)
2.0.12 (Q1) 4.6.30
3.4.22 (Q2) 8.8.56
7.5.47 (Q3) 12.13.85
11.7.73 (Q4) 17.16.118

Port Adelaide Power (available) v North Melbourne Kangaroos (Steve)
7.3.45 (Q1) 2.4.16
9.5.59 (Q2) 7.5.47
12.8.80 (Q3) 10.7.67
14.13.97 (Q4) 13.10.88

GWS Giants (Duke) v Western Bulldogs (Tazz)
3.3.21 (Q1) 2.3.15
7.6.48 (Q2) 8.5.53
7.7.49 (Q3) 13.8.86
11.8.74 (Q4) 17.11.113

The Giants were never really in tonight's game. Missed the two earlier games but good to see the Roos putting up a spirited fight against Port over in Adelaide.

Today's results:

Gold Coast Suns (Suzy) v Sydney Swans (Anita)
2.2.14 (Q1) 6.3.39
6.6.42 (Q2) 9.5.59
12.12.84 (Q3) 9.6.60
17.15.117 (Q4) 12.7.79

Carlton Blues (available) v Geelong Cats (available)
3.3.21 (Q1) 3.2.20
8.5.53 (Q2) 5.4.34
12.8.80 (Q3) 8.4.52
14.10.94 (Q4) 12.4.76

Hawthorn Hawks (available) v West Coast Eagles (Sussex)
2.8.20 (Q1) 2.1.13
9.10.64 (Q2) 4.5.29
12.14.86 (Q3) 7.7.49
18.16.124 (Q4) 11.8.74

Our tipsters' ladder is as follows:

ROUND SEVEN (first number is correct number of wins - you want this to be high; number in brackets is the cumulative margin which is used to separate punters on the same amount of points - you want this to be low)

Tim on 7 (2)
Jed on 6 (1)
Anita on 6 (2)
Val on 6 (5)
Sj Brooke (Steve) on 6 (10)
Philip on 5 (20)
Duke on 6 (21)
SussexWelsh on 6 (28)
Suzy on 3 (27)
Tazz on 2 (38)

Charity donations are:
To be re-distributed at the end of the season - A$8.00 - Highest score (Hawks - 124)
Jed (Great Barrier Reef Foundation) - A$8.00 (closest margin)
Tim (Koala Hospital - Port Macquarie) - A$14.00 (weekly winner)

CUMULATIVE LADDER:

Jed on 43 (230)
Tim on 42 (227)
Sj Brooke (Steve) on 41 (222)
SussexWelsh on 41 (259)
Val on 38 (210)
Duke on 37 (282)
Philip on 36 (261)
Anita on 35 (308)
Tazz on 28 (348)
Suzy on 18 (159)

Our Queensland tipsters did well this week, the rest of us not too bad. It's really tight at the top of the overall ladder! But congrats to the winners.

N.B. PLEASE SUBMIT YOUR TIPS EARLY!!! THERE'S A THURSDAY NIGHT GAME!!!

If anyone would like to view the AFL Ladder before submitting next week's tips, it's at http://www.afl.com.au/ladder
or https://www.theroar.com.au/afl/afl-la...

ROUND 8

Thursday May 1
Essendon Bombers v North Melbourne Kangaroos (in Melbourne)

Friday May 2
St Kilda Saints v Fremantle Dockers (in Melbourne)

Saturday May 3
Western Bulldogs v Port Adelaide Power (in Ballarat)
Adelaide Crows v Carlton Blues (in Adelaide)
Collingwood Magpies v Geelong Cats (in Melbourne)
West Coast Eagles v Melbourne Demons (in Perth)

Sunday May 4
Sydney Swans v GWS Giants (in Sydney)
Hawthorn Hawks v Richmond Tigers (in Melbourne)
Brisbane Lions v Gold Coast Suns (in Brisbane)

If punters could lodge their tips by midnight WEDNESDAY April 30 (U.K. time) it would be a great help, although I can accept them up until 10.30am THURSDAY (U.K. time) if absolutely necessary.

Every team analysed after Round 7 in just three words.

ADELAIDE CROWS: Defence wobbly again.

BRISBANE LIONS: Reminder of quality.

CARLTON: Now repeat that.

COLLINGWOOD: Better than 2023.

ESSENDON: Not same level.

FREMANTLE: Great response. Important.

GEELONG: Hate playing Blues.

GOLD COAST SUNS: Maturing before us.

GWS GIANTS: Third term terrible.

HAWTHORN: Got job done.

MELBOURNE: (Max) Gawn still great.

NORTH MELBOURNE: Buying (coach Alastair Clarkson) Clarko time.

PORT ADELAIDE: JHF’s (Jason Horne-Francis) best, worst.

RICHMOND: Third term terrible.

ST KILDA: Decline is concerning.

SYDNEY SWANS: Third term terrible. (There an echo?)

WEST COAST EAGLES: A few glimpses.

WESTERN BULLDOGS: Giants their bunnies?

Bombers by 12

Dockers

Power
Crows
Magpies
Demons

Giants
Hawks
Lions

.
.
Bombers by 19
Dockers
Bulldogs
Crows
Magpies
Demons
Giants
Hawks
Suns

Essendon Bombers +20

Fremantle Dockers
Western Bulldogs
Adelaide Crows
Collingwood Magpies
Melbourne Demons

GWS Giants
Hawthorn Hawks
Brisbane Lions

Tough round to tip this week.

Round 8:

Roos - 5
Dockers
Bulldogs
Blues
Pies
Demons
GWS (Giants can't lose 3 in a row, could they?)
Hawks
Suns

Gauntlet tip: Melbourne Demons

Well despite a bright start the Swans lived up to expectations. I did enjoy my trip though, and it is an excellent stadium to watch a game with good services. Just a little small for big games but doubt the Suns will get a major increase in support as the Gold Coast is a difficult market to tap into.
Surprised I managed to top tipping last week and should have stuck with my feelings of the Giants playing in Canberra.
This week is tough

Bombers by 15
Saints (not sure why but guess home ground advantage)
Bulldogs
Crows
Demons (surely)
Pies
Giants (oh dear have no conviction at all of Swans improving)
Hawks
Suns (was impressed last week)

Suzy's tips:

Kangaroos by 7
St Kilda
Port Adelaide
Carlton
Geelong
Eagles
Sydney Swans
Richmond
Suns

Mine:

Dons x 11
Freo
Dogs
Crows
Pies
Dees
Giants
Hawks
Lions

Tim - not sure if you'll see this. I've just finished reading Helen Garner's The Season which is about her following her 16 year old grandson's team in season 2023. This is one of the quotes:

Stuck at home with Covid. Lying under the doona, reading, dozing, reading again, forgetting everything I’ve read. After two weeks I emerge negative and drive to the café, pick up The Age, turn to the sports pages. A photo: Buddy Franklin leaving the field with his arm across the shoulders of a teammate, after Sunday’s match, which his team, the Sydney Swans, has lost to Collingwood. Collingwood is at the top of the ladder, Swans at eleven. And the Collingwood crowd booed Buddy Franklin, a hero of the game, a dancing god of the game, in his last season. Franklin is thirty six, battle-hardened. His face, in this photo, is calm, composed; but it is also as soft as a boy’s. It’s a wounded face, with that wiped look of someone who’s copped a ringing slap across the cheek: all his expression lines are gone. In my fortnight of isolation I must have lost a couple of skins: I shock myself by bursting into tears. I turn a page and find ‘a Collingwood member’ who says he did boo but realises in hindsight that it was ‘a mistake’: ‘I booed,’ he said, ‘because everone else booed.’ The Guardian doesn’t hold back: ‘It’s about the internalised hatred that men – who are the dominant force in shaping and sustaining AFL culture – have for themselves and each other. The Great Southern and Ponsford stands merely provide a haven for the boozed-up, brittle and broken to project their own self-hatred and insecurities on to others.’

mine
roos by 10
saints
power
crows
pies
eagles
SWANS
hawks
lions.
sorry just saw your message val

Oops I missed the first match. Here are my punts for the rest of the round.

Fremantle
Western
Adelaide
Collingwood
Melbourne
GWS
Hawthorn
Brisbane

Tonight's result:

Essendon Bombers (Val) v North Melbourne Kangaroos (Steve)
6.1.37 (Q1) 2.3.15
7.5.47 (Q2) 3.4.22
8.7.55 (Q3) 8.6.54
9.11.65 (Q4) 9.8.62

A close but not particularly inspiring game. Essendon started strong and got out to a more than four goal lead but then lost a bit of concentration and let the Roos back into the game. And the Roos did start to look more like a team than they have of late. They just need to maintain that pressure for all four quarters. Not that Essendon are a particularly strong opponent. And now we've lost Harry Jones to a broken? dislocated? ankle and Jordan Ridley to a hamstring. The Dons are dropping like flies.

Both Duke and I were the closest tipsters this week so $8.00 goes to both the Centre for Eye Research Australia and the Asylum Seeker Resource Centre. Well done us!

Darnit, so so close! But thanks for the closest margin donation Val. :)

Hi Val, you must have been very nervous. I did not watch as currently working for a couple of days in Beerwah, about 80km north of Brisbane so early starts, getting up at 4am. Only for 2 days, thank goodness.
I did not see that piece on Collingwood so thank you for sending. I was a that game and dismayed at the action of those so-called fans. It was one of Buddy's last matches in Melbourne and they tore into him from the start. No way to treat a legend and it was such a toxic atmosphere. No other team has a set of fans like Collingwood and that is why I really dislike them. All teams have rivalry and there will be plenty of banter at the SCG on Sunday but its all-good fun.

And Duke, I was going to say the Giants cannot lose 3 in a row. They are playing the Swans, and the Giants can easily fall 20 or so behind but just wait until that infamous Swans third quarter.

Tim wrote: "And Duke, I was going to say the Giants cannot lose 3 in a row. They are playing the Swans, and the Giants can easily fall 20 or so behind but just wait until that infamous Swans third quarter."

The Swans have had the better end of results against their home rivals for a while now, but given their injuries atm, maybe GWS can get up here, but it wouldn't surprise me if the Swans find a way to win again. BTW: GWS also fell foul to that third quarter drought last week!

Friday night's result:

St Kilda Saints (Tim) v Fremantle Dockers (available)
2.2.14 (Q1) 1.0.6
4.3.27 (Q2) 1.1.7
8.6.54 (Q3) 2.3.15
14.10.94 (Q4) 5.3.33

Saturday's results:

Western Bulldogs (Tazz) v Port Adelaide Power (available)
2.1.13 (Q1) 2.4.16
8.3.51 (Q2) 3.7.25
15.6.96 (Q3) 5.8.38
20.11.131 (Q4) 5.11.41

Adelaide Crows (available) v Carlton Blues (available)
5.3.33 (Q1) 2.2.14
8.7.55 (Q2) 3.4.22
13.10.88 (Q3) 5.6.36
16.14.110 (Q4) 7.8.50

Collingwood Magpies (available) v Geelong Cats (available)
4.5.29 (Q1) 4.2.26
7.7.49 (Q2) 6.6.42
10.10.70 (Q3) 9.9.63
12.15.87 (Q4) 13.12.90

West Coast Eagles (Sussex) v Melbourne Demons (available)
0.5.5 (Q1) 2.2.14
4.7.31 (Q2) 3.7.25
6.7.43 (Q3) 10.12.72
11.10.76 (Q4) 16.12.108

I didn't see much footy today what with the Federal election plus I was at a cello concert this evening. However I'll be sure to catch as much as I can of that Pies/Cats game! Plenty controversy it seems!

Today's results:

Sydney Swans (Anita) v GWS Giants (Duke)
5.4.34 (Q1) 2.1.13
6.5.41 (Q2) 5.5.35
8.10.58 (Q3) 6.8.44
12.15.87 (Q4) 10.13.73

Hawthorn Hawks (available) v Richmond Tigers (Philip)
2.5.17 (Q1) 0.3.3
7.8.50 (Q2) 2.4.16
11.11.77 (Q3) 4.4.28
16.13.109 (Q4) 6.8.44

Brisbane Lions (Jed) v Gold Coast Suns (Suzy)
1.4.10 (Q1) 1.1.7
4.8.32 (Q2) 3.3.21
9.9.63 (Q3) 4.5.29
9.12.66 (Q4) 7.7.49

Our tipsters' ladder is as follows:

ROUND EIGHT (first number is correct number of wins - you want this to be high; number in brackets is the cumulative margin which is used to separate punters on the same amount of points - you want this to be low)

Val on 6 (8)
Tim on 6 (12)
Sj Brooke (Steve) on 6 (17)
Jed on 5 (9)
Anita on 5 (13)
SussexWelsh on 5 (16)
Philip on 5 (27)
Duke on 4 (8)
Suzy on 3 (10)
Tazz on 2 (27)

Charity donations are:
Tazz (Royal Flying Doctor Service Victoria ) - A$8.00 - Highest score (Dogs - 131)
Val (Asylum Seeker Resource Centre) and Duke (Centre For Eye Research Australia) - A$8.00 each (closest margin)
Val (Asylum Seeker Resource Centre) - A$14.00 (weekly winner)

CUMULATIVE LADDER:

Jed on 48 (239)
Tim on 48 (239)
Sj Brooke (Steve) on 47 (239)
SussexWelsh on 46 (275)
Val on 44 (218)
Philip on 41 (288)
Duke on 41 (290)
Anita on 40 (321)
Tazz on 30 (375)
Suzy on 21 (169)

It's about time I won something for my charity! Tim and Jed are in a dead heat at the top of the ladder but will be happy both their teams managed a win this week.

N.B. PLEASE SUBMIT YOUR TIPS EARLY!!! THERE'S A THURSDAY NIGHT GAME!!!

If anyone would like to view the AFL Ladder before submitting next week's tips, it's at http://www.afl.com.au/ladder
or https://www.theroar.com.au/afl/afl-la...

ROUND 9

Thursday May 8
Fremantle Dockers v Collingwood Magpies (in Perth)

Friday May 9
St Kilda Saints v Carlton Blues (in Melbourne)

Saturday May 10
Melbourne Demons v Hawthorn Hawks (in Melbourne)
Essendon Bombers v Sydney Swans (in Melbourne)
Gold Coast Suns v Western Bulldogs (on the Gold Coast)
Port Adelaide Power v Adelaide Crows (in Adelaide)

Sunday May 11

Richmond Tigers v West Coast Eagles (in Melbourne)
Geelong Cats v GWS Giants (in Geelong)
North Melbourne Kangaroos v Brisbane Lions (in Tasmania)

If punters could lodge their tips by midnight WEDNESDAY May 7 (U.K. time) it would be a great help, although I can accept them up until 11.00am THURSDAY (U.K. time) if absolutely necessary.

Every team analysed after Round 8 in just three words.

ADELAIDE CROWS: Sign they’re trustworthy.

BRISBANE LIONS: Country Roads. Repeat. (refers to the John Denver song played every time Charlie Cameron scores a goal)

CARLTON: Crows own them.

COLLINGWOOD: Close game misfortune.

ESSENDON: (Captain Zach) Merrett is unbelievable.

FREMANTLE: Totally untrustworthy. Yuck.

GEELONG: Danger (Patrick Dangerfield) spectacular late.

GOLD COAST SUNS: Still behind sibling.

GWS GIANTS: Not contenders currently.

HAWTHORN: A perfect party.

MELBOURNE: Without (Max) Gawn... unimaginable.

NORTH MELBOURNE: Shot clock, Finnbar! (debutant Finnbar Maley)

PORT ADELAIDE: Gap to contenders.

RICHMOND: Nowhere near them.

ST KILDA: Sweet revenge, Ross. (Coach Ross Lyon against former side, Freo)

SYDNEY SWANS: Still big brother.

WEST COAST EAGLES: Midfield mix strange.

WESTERN BULLDOGS: Can win it.

Sighs.....GWS ought to be much better than this, but i did say that the Swans have had the upper hand for a while now..and they've still got it. GWS have the Cats next....a side that the Giants have beaten twice in their last two encounters. So here's hoping.....but not feeling confident though!

Sorry Duke it was close until final quarter after Swans surged out to a 32 1 lead after only 20 minutes. For next two quarters GWS controlled but Swans were unusually aggressive and took charge at the end. Melican will be out for a week at least I imagine for taking out a Giants player head on (Bedford?) and leaving him with a very nasty shiner. Do not think intentional as headed for a close contest but you must take care, and he did not. However, I was impressed with Swans having 9 players out and this could be a turning point, but we have Val's boys this weekend in Melbourne, so we need to see how that goes.

Tim wrote: "Sorry Duke it was close until final quarter after Swans surged out to a 32 1 lead after only 20 minutes. For next two quarters GWS controlled but Swans were unusually aggressive and took charge at ..."

Melican got a 3 week suspension. I saw a clip of the hit on Bedford, it was a hard hit, but it didn't look deliberate, just unfortunate. On the clip, a commentator said "Well done Bedford, you took one for the team!"

I think his eyesight has now returned, but he'll be sporting a shiner for a while, it's rough old game!

Duke, I think a 3-week suspension harsh and was expecting 1 as I agree I do not think deliberate but certainly careless. Oh well, 10 players out this week unless Callum Mills miraculously appears. Been a bloody long time with him.

Tough start to tipping but great to see Jed going so well in his first season. Will Dockers home ground advantage pay off? That would be good and Pies fallible as shown last week.

Dockers by 8
Saints
Hawks
Swans but probably blown it by tipping them
Suns... very tight game I expect
Crows... again, tight in the local derby
Tigers but Eagles will have a chance as certainly improving
Cats... sorry Duke but can it be 4 in a row? Cats very hard to beat on their odd cigar shaped ground, simply no width.
Lions...great chance for fans to get wonderful atmosphere in Hobart. Bit chilly for them though.

Let me tidy this up Val,

Dockers by 8
Saints
Hawks
Swans
Suns
Crows
Tigers
Cats
Lions

I wonder how often the last 3 get tipped and consecutively?

Magpies by 12

Saints

Hawks
Swans
Suns
Crows

Tigers
Cats
Lions

Tim wrote: "Duke, I think a 3-week suspension harsh and was expecting 1 as I agree I do not think deliberate but certainly careless. Oh well, 10 players out this week unless Callum Mills miraculously appears. ..."

I have been thinking, GWS has in the past dropped off mid season before, especially last season during the by rounds, then came out flying towards the end of the season....maybe this just one of those mid season lulls, and they'll bounce back in good time. As for this week, i feel you're right, they'll not win three in a row and get the hat trick against the Cats, but i hope it's close one.

Collingwood Magpies +1

Carlton Blues

Hawthorn Hawks
Sydney Swans
Gold Coast Suns
Adelaide Crows

Richmond Tigers
Geelong Cats
Brisbane Lions

Round 9:

Dockers - 9 pts
Blues
Hawks
Swans
Suns
Port
Tigers
Cats
Lions

Gauntlet tip: Richmond

.
.
Magpies by 14
Saints
Hawks
Bombers
Bulldogs
Crows
Tigers
Cats
Lions

Freo x 3
Blues
Hawks
Swans
Suns
Crows
Tigers
Cats
Lions

Suzy's tips:

Magpies by 7
St Kilda
Demons
Essendon
Bulldogs
Port Adelaide
Eagles
Giants
Kangaroos

Tonight's result:

Fremantle Dockers (available) v Collingwood Magpies (available)
4.3.27 (Q1) 5.2.32
7.5.47 (Q2) 9.3.57
8.8.56 (Q3) 11.5.71
12.11.83 (Q4) 15.7.97

A close game but those lousy Pies still finished on top. Boo! Sussex was right on the money with his tip of a 14 point margin so $8.00 is set aside for the Save The Bilby Fund. Well done!

Late again.

St Kilda
Hawthorn
Essendon
Gold Coast
Adelaide
Richmond
Geelong
Brisbane

me too Phillip
saints
hawks
SWANS
bulldogs
power
tigers
giants
roos

Tonight's result:

St Kilda Saints (Tim) v Carlton Blues (available)
4.0.24 (Q1) 4.3.27
6.4.40 (Q2) 8.6.54
7.6.48 (Q3) 9.8.62
9.8.62 (Q4) 11.11.77

Today's results:

Melbourne Demons (available) v Hawthorn Hawks (available)
2.3.15 (Q1) 3.3.21
4.10.34 (Q2) 5.5.35
6.13.49 (Q3) 7.8.50
7.14.56 (Q4) 13.13.91

Essendon Bombers (Val) v Sydney Swans (Anita)
3.1.19 (Q1) 1.1.7
9.1.55 (Q2) 2.4.16
11.4.70 (Q3) 5.10.40
11.5.71 (Q4) 8.15.63

Gold Coast Suns (Suzy) v Western Bulldogs (Tazz)
4.5.29 (Q1) 3.3.21
6.8.44 (Q2) 5.7.37
8.11.59 (Q3) 9.9.63
15.16.106 (Q4) 14.12.96

Port Adelaide Power (available) v Adelaide Crows (available)
3.1.19 (Q1) 3.4.22
7.3.45 (Q2) 7.8.50
10.6.66 (Q3) 10.8.68
12.12.84 (Q4) 13.11.89

Some very close and exciting games today - could easily have gone the other way.

Very tight games this week, Tigers v Eagles game was pretty neck and neck all the way through, and over in the cattery, another tight one so far...GWS might win this one yet.

Cracking game at the cattery today....way to go GWS, they did it again for the 3rd time, and by less than a kick once again. Shame i didn't tip them though!! :)

Today's results:

Richmond Tigers (Philip) v West Coast Eagles (Sussex)
3.4.22 (Q1) 2.3.15
7.7.49 (Q2) 7.6.48
10.9.69 (Q3) 9.11.65
11.15.81 (Q4) 11.13.79

Geelong Cats (available) v GWS Giants (Duke)
3.4.22 (Q1) 5.2.32
9.8.62 (Q2) 9.7.61
11.12.78 (Q3) 13.7.85
14.17.101 (Q4) 16.9.105

North Melbourne Kangaroos (Steve) v Brisbane Lions (Jed)
1.0.6 (Q1) 2.3.15
3.2.20 (Q2) 6.4.40
6.6.42 (Q3) 7.9.51
10.11.71 (Q4) 10.11.71

Three very closely contested and exciting games today. It's Mothers Day here so I was out at dinner with my offspring and grandchildren and all of us were trying to keep abreast of the scores as either the lead kept changing or one team was making a late charge. Great results though!

Our tipsters' ladder is as follows:

ROUND NINE (first number is correct number of wins - you want this to be high; number in brackets is the cumulative margin which is used to separate punters on the same amount of points - you want this to be low)

SussexWelsh on 6 (0)
Jed on 6 (2)
Sj Brooke (Steve) on 6 (13)
Val on 6 (17)
Duke on 5 (23)
Philip on 5 (33)
Tim on 4 (22)
Anita on 4 (33)
Suzy on 3 (7)
Tazz on 2 (33)

Charity donations are:
Suzy (Friends With Dignity) - A$8.00 - Highest score (Suns - 106)
SussexWelsh (Save The Bilby Fund) - A$8.00 (closest margin)
SussexWelsh (Save The Bilby Fund) - A$14.00 (weekly winner)

CUMULATIVE LADDER:

Jed on 54 (241)
Sj Brooke (Steve) on 53 (252)
Tim on 52 (261)
SussexWelsh on 52 (275)
Val on 50 (235)
Duke on 46 (313)
Philip on 46 (321)
Anita on 44 (354)
Tazz on 32 (408)
Suzy on 24 (176)

Well done Sussex in getting the double this week! And Suzy, your Suns are finally looking the goods! Do please check your scores - late on a Sunday night I am wont to make the odd error or three.