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Geo-Economics and Geopolitics: The Past, The Present and The Future
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D4v1d
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Mar 06, 2019 08:45PM
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Ukraine’s Black Sea coast the next geopolitical flashpoint - The KerchStrait incident in November 2018 indicates that the geographic focal point of the Russian-Ukrainian military conflict may be currently shifting from the Donets Basin to the Black and Azov Seas. Four factors in particular make further tensions between Moscow and Kyiv, along the shores of the Crimean peninsula and Ukraine’s southeastern mainland coastline probable.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9VsH8...
Why the Commonwealth could be a new SuperpowerBritain voting for Brexit could represent a new era in global politics. Free trade should be at the heart of it.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pN9Tn...
The Spider's Web: Britain's Second Empire (Documentary)At the demise of empire, City of London financial interests created a web of secrecy jurisdictions that captured wealth from across the globe and hid it in a web of offshore islands. Today, up to half of global offshore wealth is hidden in British jurisdictions and Britain and its dependencies are the largest global players in the world of international finance.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=np_yl...
British Virgin Islands, Gibraltar, The Channel Islands, Isle of Man and the like?
NEW BRITISH EMPIRE? UK TO RE-ESTABLISH MILITARY BASES ABROADSub for more: http://nnn.is/the_new_media | RT reports, Flush military chiefs have been handed an £800-million budget boost as they consider new bases in the former British protectorate of Oman and beyond to re-establish its power east of the Suez Canal. In a statement issued on Friday, Defence Secretary Michael Fallon lauded his department’s bolstered £35.1 billion budget. It is the first increase in six years.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TJbUQ...
James wrote: "British Virgin Islands, Gibraltar, The Channel Islands, Isle of Man and the like?"Here's a video showing the current British Empire as of 2018.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ACB1i...
D4v1d wrote: "NEW BRITISH EMPIRE? UK TO RE-ESTABLISH MILITARY BASES ABROADSub for more: http://nnn.is/the_new_media | RT reports, Flush military chiefs have been handed an £800-million budget boost as they con..."
British Empire 2.0 thread, maybe?
James wrote: "D4v1d wrote: "NEW BRITISH EMPIRE? UK TO RE-ESTABLISH MILITARY BASES ABROADSub for more: http://nnn.is/the_new_media | RT reports, Flush military chiefs have been handed an £800-million budget boo..."
Sorry James. Just put in here due to geopolitics or geoeconomics.
D4v1d wrote: "Sorry James. Just put in here due to geopolitics or geoeconomics. ..."nah, it's perfect here. I meant maybe add it to that other thread AS WELL as the British Empire 2.0 is an intriguing concept, I reckon.
James wrote: "D4v1d wrote: "Sorry James. Just put in here due to geopolitics or geoeconomics. ..."nah, it's perfect here. I meant maybe add it to that other thread AS WELL as the British Empire 2.0 is an intri..."
I'll stick them in there as well.
James wrote: "British Virgin Islands, Gibraltar, The Channel Islands, Isle of Man and the like?"Got this from the comments. Seems there's still territories in every continent:
Europe: Gibraltar Guernsey Jersey Isle of Man
Asia: British Indian Ocean Territory Akrotiri and Dhekelia
Africa: Saint Helena, Ascension and Tristan da Cunha
North America: Bermuda Anguilla Cayman Islands Montserrat British Virgin Islands Turks and Caicos Islands
South America: Falkland Islands South Georgia and the South Sandwich Islands Antarctica British Antarctic Territory Oceania Pitcairn
Wow that's more than I thought Britain still had.Quite useful territories to launch future wars from also...
James wrote: "Wow that's more than I thought Britain still had.Quite useful territories to launch future wars from also..."
Hopefully not!
On the upside: extra places outwith the country you can travel to with a GB passport. :)
3 'City States' Rule the WorldThe "CITY" in London
The "City", also known as the "square mile" an area of 677 hectares in London is just like the Vatican City in Rome their own state. The City-State, pays no tax, has its own courts, its own laws, their own flag, their own private police at about 2,000 men, and a night population that underestimates 9000 inhabitants.
Here are the Bank of England, a privately owned institution which is not subject to regulation by the British Parliament, and in fact is a sovereign world power. Moreover, Lloyds of London (insurance), London Stock Exchange (stock exchange) Fleet Streets newspapers and publishing, offices in all British banks, offices in 385 foreign banks, and 70 U.S. banks.
Internationally they use the "Crown Princess" as a symbol of power but the real power belongs to the bankers and not the royal house. It is very difficult to gain an insight into the persons who effectively control the Bank of England. A name that leaked is Rothschild.
The "City of London" is an economic entity which is legally separate from England and in control of all lawyers and banks across the world - including the Federal Reserve in the USA! The "City" is also the English seat of the world's Freemasonry with the United Grand Lodge of England as the center...
Washington, District of Columbia
The flag of the Washington District of Columbia has three red stars. One for each city state in the empire. This empire rule the world economically through London's "City", militarily by the District of Columbia, and spiritually by the Vatican. The Constitution for the District of Columbia operates under a tyrannical Roman law known as the lex fori and has no similarities to the U.S. Constitution...
The Vatican in Rome
Vatican's assets include massive investments by Rothschild in the UK, France and the U.S., billions of shares in oil and weapons companies like Shell and General Electric, Bethlehem Steel. The Vatican is the world's largest owner of private property and its gold reserves are stored by the Bank of England and the U.S. Federal Reserve Bank...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IFuvj...
The history of the Judicial Committee of the Privy CouncilThis animated film charts the history of the Judicial Committee of the Privy Council, which today serves as the highest court of appeal for a number of Commonwealth countries, as well as the United Kingdom’s overseas territories, crown dependencies, and military sovereign base areas. The JCPC hears around 40 appeals each year, chiefly in the courthouse it shares with the UK Supreme Court on Parliament Square, London.
https://youtu.be/M-xc3P7HhBE
Why I'm Betting AGAINST This Hyped MarketWe have seen a major rally in one much-loved and hyped up market. But we believe that this rally in Snapchat (SNAP) is likely a trap before the next move lower. I explain why in this video.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=lcyGbnE...
PanamaPapers – The Shady World of Offshore Companies | Das Erste | NDRFor decades, presidents, drug smugglers and criminals have used a Panamanian law firm to hide their accounts and valuables. This is revealed in documents reviewed by media partners around the world, including NDR and WDR. A total of 370 journalists from 78 countries evaluated around 11.5 million documents in the course of their reporting on the “PanamaPapers.” An anonymous source provided the data to Germany’s Süddeutsche Zeitung. The paper then shared it with the International Consortium of Investigative Journalists (ICIJ) and partners across the globe, including NDR and WDR.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CtvaN...
D4v1d wrote: "PanamaPapers – The Shady World of Offshore Companies | Das Erste | NDRFor decades, presidents, drug smugglers and criminals have used a Panamanian law firm to hide their accounts and valuables. ..."
More on that 'ere, guv...
The Panama Papers and The Paradise Papers https://www.goodreads.com/topic/show/...
Geopolitical analysis for 2019Europe:
As the wheel of time turns and nations become increasingly interconnected by land, air, sea and cyberspace, disputes ripple across regions. This is especially true in Europe, where new elections, treaties and events will reshape the continent. Here’s what we need to keep an eye out for in 2019.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_PYfX...
Middle-East:
As globalization binds nations closer together, borders and barriers are becoming increasingly obsolete. Nowhere is this trend more visible than in the Middle East, where violence and destruction will spill-over throughout the neighbourhood in 2019.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dpbAH...
Americas
Home to the world’s singular superpower, the two continents that make up the Western Hemisphere are contrasts of each other. While North America will be preoccupied with internal matters, the affairs in the south will be shaped by the crisis in Venezuela. Here’s what we need to be watchful for in 2019.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HZq_D...
Asia Pacific
More people live in the western rim of the Pacific Ocean than anywhere else, but the region’s economy is off balance. Production is about to eclipse demand, and the trade war between Beijing and Washington will cast a shadow over Asia Pacific in 2019.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UDuQR...
James wrote: "D4v1d wrote: "PanamaPapers – The Shady World of Offshore Companies | Das Erste | NDRFor decades, presidents, drug smugglers and criminals have used a Panamanian law firm to hide their accounts a..."
Cheers.
Would like to see a similar format with a Webster with Jordan Peterson. With his psychological background and knowledge of tyranny and dictatorship, coupled with Webster's extensive historical knowledge, it would make for interesting viewing. especially as we enter a world of soft dictatorship and technocracy.
Review: War by Other Means by Robert Blackwill and Jennifer HarrisWar by Other Means: Geoeconomics and Statecraft by Robert Blackwill and Jennifer Harris explores the role of financial assets in modern geopolitics. The title of the book is also a play on the famous adage by Prussian general Carl von Clausewitz who once stated that war is the continuation of politics by other means. With this in mind, the book reveals geo-economics for what it is, an extension of geopolitics that seeks to maximize capacities through asymmetrical economic means
https://youtu.be/JMe4bzlm75g
https://youtu.be/JMe4bzlm75g
In terms of how we got here and where we're headed (by we I mean the West), I think Oswald Spengler's "Decline of the West" still stands out as one of the best scholarly works on the rise and fall of Civilization. This channel does a good job of summarizing his huge two volume work: https://www.youtube.com/user/Empirica...
Oliver wrote: "In terms of how we got here and where we're headed (by we I mean the West), I think Oswald Spengler's "Decline of the West" still stands out as one of the best scholarly works on the rise and fall ..."Looks interesting. I'll be sure to give it listen over the weekend Oliver. Cheers.
Iain wrote: "What is going on with Iran?https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MnnoI..."
It's all ramping up. The USA has been sewing the seeds to invade Iran for years - since before Trump.
I gather the US has warned commercial aircraft not to fly over the Gulf in case "errors are made". Trump says he doesn't want war, but (a) his truth record is not exactly good, and (b) John Bolton clearly does.It is not clear to me what will happen if Bolton lets fly, but my guess is that there will be chaos with Gulf oil exports, and US ground forces will be bogged down like they have never been bogged down before. I suspect widespread economic chaos too.
Taking oil away from the Gulf would certainly reduce Iran's nuisance value, but I doubt they can do that within Bolton's timetable. There is no doubt the US could convert Iran to rubble - they are good at doing that, and if you thought the damage in the last two episodes of Game of Thrones was bad, the damage to Mosul and Raqqa was much worse - but that merely makes Iran more irritable. If killing and turning to rubble is the height of Bolton's ambition, I guess he could get his wish, but if he sends in ground troops my guess is he is in for a shock. After all, the US has not exactly prospered in Afghanistan.
Iain, the last episode was kind of flat. However, I think that was inevitable if it were to be the last episode. If Daenerys lived on, she would inevitably be on the warpath, which would require more episodes. After all the death and destruction, there weren't very many characters left and the choice of the king was the one who would not need more episodes. Then there were so many strands in the story that all needed tidying up, that meant the last episode was just that - the general accounting and sending all the characters remaining to an unexciting future that required no more episodes, ever. Small Stark's ending reminded me of the cowboy films where the hero rides off into the sunset, which was a bit of a cliche. So it wasn't a great episode, but I think for structural reasons where they had got to virtually required that. If you have all those strands to wind down, the episode is a bit of a wind down.
Iain wrote: "Ian wrote: "Iain, the last episode was kind of flat. However, I think that was inevitable if it were to be the last episode. If Daenerys lived on, she would inevitably be on the warpath, which woul..."Yes, well literature is full of resurrections, I suppose. A certain Mr S Holmes refused to die when the author struck him out. My guess is that is the end though, if for no other reason than they are going to go through a number of prequel episodes which will be a distraction.
Iain wrote: "Xi’s Trip to Rare Earths Plant Stokes Talk of Trade RetaliationMay.20 -- President Xi Jinping made a visit to a rare earths processing plant, fueling speculation that China could weaponized the s..."
It is an obvious response to Trump's trade and security war.
I don't think we can predict anything based on the past right now because we are entering new territory. Trump has now effectively reduced Huawei to a non-player in the smartphone market, not only by banning the android system, but by banning its access to one technology used under license by all smartphones. It is likely Huawei cannot survive in the West in this market. The problem now is that by deliberately or otherwise picking on one company to remove from competition, China will have to respond. It cannot take this sitting down and while negotiation may well have sorted out the US problems, it is unlikely to now. Knowing Trump, whatever China does, Trump will retaliate and up the odds. This will effectively divide the world into two zones. The ripples of this could go anywhere. Already they are annoying. For a country like NZ, the prices for agricultural exports are bouncing around quite erratically. Now given the derivatives out there that grossly exceed actual trade, almost anything could happen. But it won't be pretty.
An alternative to the cryptocurrency concept might be that they want to provide a conventional alternative to the USD to force the US to pay for its quantitative easing in some way other than simply printing money.In the news here a few minutes ago there was a speech from Trump that looks like the first round of a trade war with Japan. Is anybody safe???
Nobody wins in a trade war, but there are various degrees of how to lose. Unfortunately, there is no "neutral" - and it is the small players who have no role in it that lose as heavily as the worst offenders.
Dunno if this is true, but I overheard someone saying today that 23 countries have now moved away from the US Dollar. I assume that means they can do their raw, base transactions in their own currency instead of USD. If I'm assuming correctly there, how does that change things?
And is what's going down in Europe somehow related to the decline of the US Empire? For example, if the UK had not done BREXIT, they were eventually going to give up the British Pound and accept the Euro as the currency for Britain (And I guess they still might if the UK does not activate BREXIT at the end of the day and stays in the EU). That would have been (or will be if Britain remains) a very strong Euro -- would that have been enough to overthrow USD as the world's #1 currency?
I dunno here, just brainstorming, and don't really know too much about these theories, just what I've heard...But is there any chance we are primarily dealing with on the world's stage at present is subtle currency wars at play?
Could it be different factions of the Global Elite playing chess?
Actually I just found this article so it appears there is some kind of truth in the conversation I overheard...And this article is about a year old and I think more countries since have either or are considering "dumping the dollar"...Which countries are dumping the dollar and why? https://www.rt.com/business/427177-wh...
The European Union is considering switching payments from the US dollar to the euro after Washington threatened to target European firms working in Iran, according to reports.
The measure may help the EU to retain one of the world's largest markets, which was opened for trade after the historic nuclear deal signed by Tehran and the P5+1 powers (China, France, Russia, UK, US, plus Germany) in June 2015.
The idea to eliminate the role of the greenback in international settlements is not new. Aside from the EU, a number of nations have been mulling the idea. RT discussed with analysts how realistic the prospect of countries ditching the dollar is.
https://www.rt.com/business/427177-wh...
James wrote: "The measure may help the EU to retain one of the world's largest markets, which was opened for trade after the historic nuclear deal signed by Tehran and the P5+1 powers (China, France, Russia, UK, US, plus Germany) in June 2015...."Damn, BREXIT happened not long after that date...
Am I connected too many dots here?! Or is there something to the idea that the US Empire could get overthrown if the US Dollar is dumped globally in terms of international trade settlements?
The reef fish have a new direction. In fairness, though, the stock market has been overpriced thanks to so much low-interest money. Now it is perhaps time to take the excess money out of circulation in a glorious bust?
My guess is that in any reset panic will set in amongst the politicians and governors of the various reserves. It probably won't be pretty, but what can anyone do to avoid the consequences, or at least the worst of them?
Maybe there is some sort of conservation law at work here: if we create money out of thin air, thin air will reclaim it and destroy it eventually???
You should have offices where you earn enough revenue to warrant it. The real money always goes to the owners anyway.
Iain wrote: "HSBC is moving jobs from London to Paris, but Asian banks stay put even as Brexit loomsSome Asian banks do not do enough business in the EU to justify the costs of setting up new operations, say ..."
Perhaps they realise that Brexit is just another Shenegan visa. Mountain made of a molehill.
Bad, but a decade is not that long. Growth may be weak, but it is not negative yet.
